Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.001254 0.001409 0.001565 0.001731 0.001905 0.002079 0.002267
2025-10-19 0.000993 0.001216 0.001446 0.001698 0.001967 0.002243 0.002545
2025-10-26 0.000788 0.001058 0.001346 0.001671 0.002022 0.002388 0.002795
2025-11-02 0.000621 0.000925 0.001260 0.001646 0.002072 0.002521 0.003027
2025-11-09 0.000489 0.000818 0.001192 0.001633 0.002128 0.002656 0.003256
2025-11-16 0.000385 0.000730 0.001139 0.001631 0.002190 0.002793 0.003483
2025-11-23 0.000299 0.000655 0.001093 0.001631 0.002251 0.002926 0.003703
2025-11-30 0.000254 0.000628 0.001101 0.001691 0.002377 0.003128 0.003996
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000562 0.001056 0.001685 0.002424 0.003240 0.004189
2025-12-14 0.000123 0.000484 0.000990 0.001649 0.002434 0.003308 0.004329
2025-12-21 0.000091 0.000453 0.000982 0.001681 0.002521 0.003460 0.004561
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000387 0.000920 0.001644 0.002525 0.003516 0.004685
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000328 0.000879 0.001649 0.002598 0.003674 0.004950
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000262 0.000821 0.001630 0.002643 0.003803 0.005184
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000203 0.000766 0.001611 0.002687 0.003930 0.005417
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000151 0.000713 0.001593 0.002730 0.004054 0.005647
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000110 0.000669 0.001584 0.002783 0.004188 0.005887
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000078 0.000634 0.001583 0.002844 0.004331 0.006136
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000052 0.000603 0.001585 0.002907 0.004475 0.006384
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000045 0.000612 0.001646 0.003043 0.004704 0.006729
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000024 0.000578 0.001640 0.003094 0.004831 0.006956
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000006 0.000527 0.001605 0.003104 0.004909 0.007125
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000002 0.000521 0.001637 0.003200 0.005088 0.007409